Risk of unintentional injuries in children and adolescents with ADHD and the impact of ADHD medications: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Maite Ruiz-Goikoetxea, Samuele Cortese, Maite Aznarez-Sanado, Sara Magallón, Noelia Alvarez Zallo, Elkin O. Luis, Pilar de Castro-Manglano, Cesar Soutullo, Gonzalo Arrondo, “Risk of unintentional injuries in children and adolescents with ADHD and the impact of ADHD medications: A systematic review and meta-analysis,Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews, Volume 84, 2018, Pages 63-71, ISSN 0149-7634, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neubiorev.2017.11.007.
A systematic review with meta-analyses was performed to:
1) quantify the association between ADHD and risk of unintentional physical injuries in children/adolescents (“risk analysis”);
2) assess the effect of ADHD medications on this risk (“medication analysis”).
We searched 114 databases through June 2017. For the risk analysis, studies reporting sex-controlled odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) estimating the association between ADHD and injuries were combined.
Pooled ORs (28 studies, 4,055,620 individuals without and 350,938 with ADHD) and HRs (4 studies, 901,891 individuals without and 20,363 with ADHD) were 1.53 (95% CI = 1.40,1.67) and 1.39 (95% CI = 1.06,1.83), respectively.
For the medication analysis, we meta-analysed studies that avoided the confounding-by-indication bias [four studies with a self-controlled methodology and another comparing risk over time and groups (a “difference in differences” methodology)].
The pooled effect size was 0.879 (95% CI = 0.838,0.922) (13,254 individuals with ADHD).
ADHD is significantly associated with an increased risk of unintentional injuries and ADHD medications have a protective effect, at least in the short term, as indicated by self-controlled studies.
Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), characterized by a persistent, age inappropriate, and impairing pattern of inattention and/or hyperactivity-impulsivity (American Psychiatric Association, 2013), is the most commonly diagnosed neurodevelopmental disorder.
Its worldwide prevalence is estimated to be about 5% in school-age children (Polanczyk et al., 2014). Hyperkinetic Disorder (HKD), as defined in the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10) (World Health Organization, 2016), is a narrower diagnostic category, requiring both symptoms of inattention and hyperactivity/impulsivity, similarly to the combined presentation of ADHD as per the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders fifth edition (DSM-5).
ADHD is more frequent in males than in females, with male-to-female ratios of 3:1 in population-based samples and even higher (from 6:1 to 9:1) in clinical samples, probably due to referral bias (Gaub and Carlson, 1997).
ADHD is often comorbid with other disorders, such as oppositional defiant disorder (ODD), conduct disorder (CD), and anxiety disorders (Faraone, 2015).
Available treatments for ADHD include pharmacological and non-pharmacological interventions.
Due to its core symptoms and associated conditions, ADHD imposes huge burdens on affected individuals, families (Beining, 2014; Kvist et al., 2013) and society (Doshi et al., 2012; Holden et al., 2013; Le et al., 2014).
A factor that may contribute to the societal costs of ADHD is its possible association with an increased risk of unintentional physical injuries (UPIs), which in turn may be among the causes of increased mortality in ADHD (Dalsgaard et al., 2015b).
Indeed, core ADHD symptoms (i.e., inattention, hyperactivity and impulsivity), as well as characteristics related to comorbid disorders (e.g., aggressiveness associated with ODD/CD) may increase the risk of UPIs.
However, despite a number of studies (e.g., (Bonander et al., 2016; Dalsgaard et al., 2015a; Lange et al., 2016)) reporting a significantly increased risk of UPIs in individuals compared to those without ADHD, available findings are quite mixed (e.g. (Dudani et al., 2010; Sciberras et al., 2016)).
Some of the most recent studies have found statistically significant effect sizes with odds ratios (ORs) below 2.
For example, a study following over 700,000 Danish children estimated the OR of suffering an injury at age 12 in ADHD compared to controls as 1.3 (95% Confidence Interval, CI = 1.23, 1.37) (Dalsgaard et al., 2015a), whereas a German study surveying over 350,000 participants found an OR of 1.55 (95% CI = 1.49, 1.71) (Lange et al., 2016).
In contrast, a population-based survey from Canada including over 1.5 million individuals did not find a relation between ADHD an injuries when comorbidity was accounted for (OR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.53, 1.06) (Dudani et al., 2010), and another recent population-based survey across Europe with over 4,000 participants found similar results (OR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.56, 1.48) (Keyes et al., 2014).
Moreover, some case-control studies have reported much higher and statistically significant odds ratios (Ghanizadeh, 2008; Shilon et al., 2012).
Summarizing, the exact extent to which ADHD in children and adolescents is associated with an increased risk of UPIs, even after controlling for comorbid conditions, is still unclear.
Perhaps even more importantly, meta-analytic evidence on possible beneficial or harmful effects of ADHD medications on the risk of UPIs is lacking.
To the best of our knowledge, no randomized controlled trials have aimed to assess the effects of ADHD medications and the risk of injuries, possibly due to the relatively low incidence of injuries.
Hence, studies using observational data can offer useful information on the association, provided appropriate methodologies are applied.
Whilst case-control studies aimed at addressing the effect of ADHD medication on risk of UPIs are hampered by the “confound by indication” bias (pharmacological treatment is more common in children with severe compared to mild forms of ADHD), self-controlled case series (SCCS) studies or other methodologies that take into account individual differences have a suitable design to explore this issue.
Gaining insight into the magnitude of the association between ADHD and risk of UPIs in children and adolescents, as well as on a possible beneficial or harmful effect of ADHD medications, is highly relevant from a clinical and public health standpoint.
In particular, meta-analytic evidence of a significant association between ADHD and increased risk of injuries and of a protective role of ADHD pharmacotherapy could inform the debate regarding the discontinuation of medication during week-ends or school holidays (Ibrahim and Donyai, 2015).
Furthermore, findings of a protective effect of medication would contribute to the current, controversial scientific debate around the actual benefits and risks of ADHD medications (Banaschewski et al., 2016).
Of note, a recent meta-analysis by Amiri et al. (Amiri et al., 2017) pooled 35 studies published until 2014 and found a pooled odds ratio in children of 1.96 (95% CI = 1.6, 2.4), indicating that ADHD is significantly associated with a risk of injury.
However, several methodological sound studies have been published in the past three years, which could not be included in this previous meta-analysis, and some other important (for example, the above mentioned Canadian survey by (Dudani et al., 2010) were not included.
Additionally, the Amiri et al. study did not control for gender effects, which are a crucial confounder due to the association of both risk of UPIs and ADHD to male gender (Gaub and Carlson, 1997; Peden et al., 2008).
Finally, and importantly, the meta-analysis by Amiri et al. was not aimed to assess the impact of ADHD medications on the risk of UPIs.
The present meta-analysis extends in important ways the meta-analysis by Amiri et al. including studies in children and adolescents published until June 2017, controlling for gender and, importantly, exploring the effects of ADHD medication by pooling self-controlled studies.
We hypothesized that:
1) the prevalence of UPIs would be higher in children/adolescents with compared to those without ADHD;
2) the risk of UPIs would be significantly lower when children/adolescents with ADHD are treated with ADHD-approved medications for the disorder compared to when they are not treated pharmacologically.
We carried out a systematic review/meta-analysis of published and unpublished data to 1) quantify the risk of UPIs in children/adolescents with ADHD and 2) assess the effect of ADHD medication, pooling estimates from studies with an adequate design, i.e., self- controlled case series comparing the rates of injuries in the same individuals when individuals were medicated compared to when they were not or other highly controlled methodologies.
We found that ADHD was significantly associated with an increased risk of injuries in children/ adolescents and that its pharmacological treatment had a protective effect.
As for the meta-analysis of risk, we pooled studies presenting odds ratios (ORs) as well as those including hazard ratios (HRs).
ORs were the most commonly reported outcomes: their combination yielded a significant pooled OR of 1.53 with very small, and hence precise, confidence intervals (95% CI = 1.40, 1.67).
We note that, since it is not infrequent for children to have more than one injury over time, follow-up periods could have influenced results.
However, it is important to highlight that the meta-analysis of HR obtained from Cox models, in which we were able to include outcomes from large databases that are time-independent, provided similar results (HR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.06, 1.83).
Moreover, results were similar when we pooled results from studies with less (OR = 1.50, 95% CI = 1.36, 1.67) or more than a year of follow-up (OR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.30, 1.84).
It is also relevant that our results were robust to all sensitivity analyses, indicating that the type of OR (adjusted or unadjusted), the method used to diagnose ADHD, the definition of injury and the period during which the study was conducted did not significantly affect the results.
Likewise, our meta-regression analysis showed that the study quality did not significantly influence the results.
Additionally, our meta-regression analyses did not provide evidence for a significant effect of age, gender or comorbidity.
However, these results should be taken with caution given the number of studies the analyses relied on, and warrant future studies.
Our study addresses some limitations of a previous meta-analysis onthe risk of injuries in children ADHD by Amiri et al. (Amiri et al., 2017).
These authors obtained both a more variable and higher estimation of UPIs in children with ADHD (pooled OR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.6, 2.4).
This may be accounted for by the fact that, compared to our meta-analysis, they included studies that did not control for gender, which is an important confounder.
Moreover, differently from what we did, Amiri et al. (Amiri et al., 2017) combined different effect measures (ORs, HRs and rates) within the same analysis, included studies on pre-schoolers and also accepted studies that did not use a dichotomous threshold for clinical scales.
All these factors likely contributed to the variability of their results.
Additionally, the fact that we used a wider search strategy over multiple databases and included a larger time period led us to include several cohort and other high-quality studies not present in their study.
These studies summed at least 3,700,000 children and adolescents without ADHD and 329,000 with ADHD, and give further confidence on our estimation compared to the previous one.
Finally, it is also of note that the methods of the present meta-analysis were pre-registered in an official website for systematic review protocols (PROSPERO), providing a more transparent analysis.
We also note that we did not include studies focusing on traumatic brain injuries (TBI), due to the concern that they might introduce heterogeneity.
Indeed, a meta-analysis (Adeyemo et al., 2014) on the risk of TBI in children with ADHD found even greater ORs (2.1), which would further prove that the nature of the relation between ADHD and physical injuries other than TBI is different from that between ADHD and TBI.
Adeyemo et al. (Adeyemo et al., 2014) found specific support for ADHD subsequent to TBI, but could not find evidence for asignificant association between ADHD and subsequent TBIs.
However, in this previous meta-analysis, the authors could only locate two studies using a prospective design, a key reason for the exclusion of TBI studies here.
Whereas our work does not directly address the question on the relationship between ADHD and subsequent TBI, there is no a-priori reason to believe that this risk is different from the other types of injuries included. This specific issue could nevertheless be addressed in future work.
As mentioned in the introduction, all the three core symptoms of ADHD (i.e., inattention, hyperactivity, and impulsivity), as well as clinical components often associated with ADHD, such as irritability and aggression, may increase the risk of injuries.
Since studies included here did not present data according to the ADHD type/presentation (predominantly inattentive, predominantly impulsive or combined), we could not ascertain the individual contribution of each ADHD component, which should be explored in future studies.
This relied on the combination of studies with a very powerful type of design, i.e., self-controlled case studies and difference in risk differences, which control for the “confounding by indication bias”.
It must be noted that the effect size included for the latter study was an OR that did not directly control for intra-individual characteristics.
However, the fact that the protection estimated through the difference in difference model was greater than that obtained from the linear mixed model from which the OR was derived indicates that the pooled estimation when including all the articles, is, if anything, a conservative one.
Although one may think that our finding should be taken with caution since it derives from 5 studies only, we note that this analysis included 13,254 children/adolescents with ADHD.
Additionally, while the results of the risk meta-analysis were characterized by a high heterogeneity (likely accounted for by the variability that we addressed with the sensitivity and meta-regression analyses), the meta-analysis on the effect of medication was associated with a low heterogeneity, increasing the confidence in the results.
The effect size we found in relation to the protective effect of ADHD medications translates in an average of 10% reduction in the incidence of unintentional injuries.
Whilst this figure may seem small, we deem our results relevant from a clinical and public health standpoint.
Indeed due to the high prevalence of ADHD in children and adolescents, and the higher incidence of unintentional injuries in this population, even a small reduction of the risk would result in high potential social and economic benefits.
Our findings are also important in the light of recent controversy about the evidence supporting the use of methylphenidate (Banaschewski et al., 2016).
Self-controlled case series are suited to estimate the short-term effects of medication as the issue they address is whether an individual is more prone to suffer an injury during the previous, recent, period when (s)he has not taken any ADHD drugs.
Our meta-analysis of the four self-controlled case series shows that there is a short-term protective effect of medication.
However, the study by Dalsgaard et al. (Dalsgaard et al., 2015a) investigated long-term differences in the risk of injuries, as individuals were included in the medicated group if they had received medication for as little time as six months.
As already reported, this study showed a similar effect size to the self-controlled studies, and its inclusion in the meta-analysis did not change the estimation of the pooled effect-size.
Future additional studies are needed to confirm the possible long-term protective effect of medication reported by Dalsgaard et al.
Overall, our results have relevant implications both from a research and clinical perspective.
In terms of research, there has been for a long time a strong focus on the cognitive and academic impairments associated with ADHD.
Indeed, many parents seek help only when there are academic failures or learning difficulties.
More recently, there has been a growing interest on other very relevant aspects related to ADHD, such as somatic disorders (e.g, obesity (Cortese et al., 2016)) substance abuse (Groenman et al., 2017), sexual impulsivity −associated with higher rates of sexually transmitted diseases and un-planned pregnancy (Ramos Olazagasti et al., 2013), legal problems and motor vehicle accidents (Barkley et al., 1990; Curry et al., 2017) and quality of life (Coghill et al., 2017).
Our results add to this body of literature highlighting how UPIs are a significant aspect to consider.
The association of ADHD with higher risk of UPIs has also important clinical and preventive medicine implications.
Children and adolescents with ADHD are an “at risk” population for injuries, and prevention is the best way to tackle this problem (Peden et al., 2008).
Parents of children and adolescents with ADHD should have a stronger focus on child-proofing the home to avoid injuries and also educate their children in the use of protective equipment in sports, and more generally, to avoid unneeded risks.
From an economic perspective, arguably, medication management is not a low-cost intervention, as a continuous clinical follow up and a close monitoring of parameters such as weight, height, blood pressure, and pulse are recommended.
However, the potential reduction of UPIs would save a lot of resources in direct costs, such as visits to the emergency room, hospital admissions, severe disability (physical or cognitive) or premature death; and also in indirect costs such as school absenteeism, parental stress and parental reduction of time at work (Maia et al., 2016).
Moreover, medication discontinuation during the summer is a practice that is still frequent in many settings (Ibrahim and Donyai, 2015), as ADHD is sometimes identified only as a school performance problem.
However, the risk of UPIs is especially high in this period of the year (Peden et al., 2008), and hence, our results are a further call for the reconsideration of this practice.
At the very least, when the clinicians discuss the potential benefits on appetite, sleep, mood and other aspects when the medication is stopped, they should also address the risk of elevated injuries, in times when there is less structure and supervisions, such as summer vacation.
Our results should be evaluated in the light of study strengths and limitations.
The former include the availability of a pre-registered protocol, limiting the possibility of reporting bias, the inclusion of unpublished data, and the focus, for the medication analysis, on studies with a very rigorous design suited to test medication effects, i.e., self-case control studies.
As for all meta-analyses, limitations include:
1) bias on individual studies (although our meta-regression showed that study quality did not have a significant impact on the findings);
2) number of studies available for meta-regression analyses;
3) the impossibility of studying whether the protective effect varies between medications, if it is influenced by other variables, or if non-pharmacological interventions can also influence this risk.
These limitations should be addressed with future studies and meta-analyses.
Maite Ruiz-Goikoetxea, Samuele Cortese, Maite Aznarez-Sanado, Sara Magallón, Noelia Alvarez Zallo, Elkin O. Luis, Pilar de Castro-Manglano, Cesar Soutullo, Gonzalo Arrondo, “Risk of unintentional injuries in children and adolescents with ADHD and the impact of ADHD medications: A systematic review and meta-analysis, Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews, Volume 84, 2018, Pages 63-71, ISSN 0149-7634, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neubiorev.2017.11.007.